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Why I don't think AGI is right around the corner
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Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research
"These models somehow just generalize dramatically worse than people. It's a very fundamental thing."
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Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)
Why I'm moderately bearish in the short term, but bullish in the long term. An analysis of current trends in model scaling.
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Podcast Strategy Doc (December 2025)
Back to The Lunar Society mission. How we plan to scale our research efforts and improve interview quality.
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RL is even more information inefficient than you thought
And implications for RLVR progress. Why data efficiency matters more than compute in the current paradigm.
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